The four spheres
There has been a lot of uncertainty and speculation around the world after Donald Trump decided to send US troops to Venezuela with the purpose of capturing the dictator Nicolás Maduro. That Trump delivered the order without notifying Congress is definitely not okay in my opinion, because who knows what other types of orders he might give without following the proper procedure.
However, I would be lying to you if I claimed to be furious over the ousting of Maduro. This is because he is a leftist-dictator who is best described as a fascist in disguise, or a left-wing fascist. However, that’s a topic for another day. Nicolás Maduro has in either way clearly been a disaster for Venezuela, so I don’t have any sympathy for him whatsoever.
That does not change the fact that it is very disturbing that when you think about this incident in a broader sense, capturing Maduro may have laid the foundation for yet another new world order (I’m getting quite tired of that term). I am referring to the fact that this may very likely have been a signal to Russia, China and Israel that they may do whatever they want within their own geographical spheres of influence.
A few days before the capturing of Maduro, China had been carrying out a major military exercise where they simulated a blockade of Taiwan, which very likely could be the strategy they are going to use when/if invading the island. Even though I don’t think that exercise has anything to do with the Mauro-incident, I am still very disturbed by the developments that we are currently witnessing all over the world.
The reason that I bring this up is precisely because of the previously mentioned issue, namely that I believe it to be part of a disturbing pattern. I am referring to a suspicion of mine that the world’s most powerful countries, and Israel, are likely creating their own spheres of influence where they more or less are and will be allowed to carry out any types of actions.
The United States
If we begin with the United States, they might once again start using Latin America and the Caribbean as their own backyard. Maybe they never stopped doing that in the first place, but it has definitely become a more stressing issue after US-forces capturing Nicolás Maduro and taking him to the US to where he is now awaiting trial.
As previously mentioned, despite Trump not notifying Congress before the attack, Nicolás Maduro is a person that I have no sympathy for whatsoever. If this turns out to be a one time military operation, then I wouldn’t be too upset about it since Maduro is a corrupt and evil dictator.
This makes me remember living in Colombia for six months about a year ago. I then spoke to many Venezuelans, and they had all escaped their country because of the chaos and financial collapse that Maduro has caused.
For their own sake, I hope that people of Venezuela will be able to find and elect a non-corrupt president and step away from so called communism, which I myself call left-wing fascism. Communism may have certain good points, but it has never actually worked anywhere, not in its pure form at least. Countries that claim to be communist have a tendency to end up as actual fascist states, camouflaged as communism. Let’s dive into this theory another time.
To get back to the topic of the post, as previously mentioned, my fear is that the US attack on Venezuela might very well send a signal to China, Russia and Israel that they are free to do whatever they want in their spheres of influence.
In the case of the US, it now seems as if their sphere might possibly also include Greenland. One would hope that there will be a stop to this crazy idea of a US-takeover of Greenland, but now it seems to have developed into a matter of prestige for Trump. There are endless possibilities regarding the repercussions that this could have, including a another large-scale war.
One can’t really do anything but to hope that the Greenland-crisis is nothing but empty talk from Trump, because a US attack on Greenland would signal the end of NATO, and yet another new world order where the powerful countries can do more or less as they wish on the global stage.
China
When it comes to China and their global ambitions, it seems obvious that their first target will be Taiwan. Ever since the communists took control of China in 1949 and forced the so called nationalists to escape to Taiwan, it has only been a matter of time before an invasion of the island will be carried out.
Taiwan used to be able to rely on the US for support, but I doubt that Trump is willing to risk a military conflict with China. Also, he most likely simply don’t care about the island.
Apart from the conflict with Taiwan, China has for many years also been involved in a conflict with especially the Philippines over different groups of islands in the South China Sea. The Kalayaan Island Group is only one of many.
If China is given free hands to do as they want in their sphere, it is hard to see how the Philippines will be able to stop them from seizing the islands. The same goes for other countries in the region which China views as hostile as a result of various disagreements, meaning that they might also be forced to make concessions of different kinds.
In the case of South East Asian countries like Cambodia and Laos, it appears as if China is using another type of strategy than regular warfare in order to expand their sphere of influence. I am referring to them taking part in what can best be described as financial occupation of the previously mentioned countries among others.
As an example, there are plenty of construction projects financed by China going on in the two countries. Sihanoukville in Cambodia, previously known as a junkie’s haven without laws, is for example now more or less a city seen as part of China according to many Cambodians I’ve spoken to. It all seems more or less identical to Chinese investment in Africa, at least on the surface.
I find it difficult to see what the exact goals of the investments are, but I doubt very much that China is doing it in the interest and possible benefits of anyone else than themselves. China doing it for the purpose of being helpful is very unlikely to say the least. Maybe it is an attempt to get as many allies as possible on their side if or when the next major conflict breaks out, and to give them a military as well as a financial stronghold there.
I would assume that both Laos and Cambodia are chosen for strategic reasons, but unfortunately also because of their high levels of corruption. The latter makes it a lot easier for China to pursue their own interests as long as they pay the “right” people enough money.
Russia
In the case of Russia, it seems as if Vladimir Putin wants to partly restore the Soviet Union, or at least all the Slavic nations that were officially part of the union or the Warsaw Pact. As we all know, this is something that already begun four years ago with the invasion of Ukraine.
Only the future will tell how this will end, but if NATO falls apart it is hard to foretell the fate of countries like Poland, Ukraine, Moldova and others located within Russia’s sphere of influence.
It remains to be seen whether Putin will be able to fulfill his goals or not. My guess is that it depends on whether the EU will be able to come to the rescue of the aforementioned countries, or if they will be busy fighting their own war against the United States.
Europe warring against the US, their long-term ally who have provided them with military back-up for several decades, is something which would have been completely unthinkable just a few years ago. With Donald Trump in control of the White House, unfortunately this is actually anything but unthinkable in this day and age.
As a result of no longer being able to rely on the US for security, EU and other European countries like the UK need to start rearming themselves, and they need to do it fast. That being said, Ukraine has been able to put up an admirable fight against Russia, a nation whose militaristic capabilities I personally seem to have vastly overestimated.
A united and rearmed Europe could and would therefore most likely be able to defeat the Russians on their own, at least as long as the US does not get involved on Russia’s side. One can only hope that as Russian casualties continue to mount, Putin will face more and more criticism from within. Hopefully that could somehow lead to a new Russian revolution, and a removal of Putin once and for all.
Based on some of what I have read about the war, so far it is mainly indigenous soldiers from the more remote parts of Russia that have been drafted to fight their pointless war. It is also a well known fact that Russia has scammed a large number of foreign fighters in order to make them join the war on Russia’s side.
However, as the number of casualties continues to mount, perhaps Putin could soon be forced to start enlisting people from Russia’s major cities like Moscow and St. Petersburg etc. Could that be the spark that marks the beginning of an uprising by ordinary Russian citizens against the despot ruining their country? It remains to be seen.
Israel
Last but not least, we got Israel. Looking at size and population, this is a country that shouldn’t really be included when discussing the most powerful ones. Their constant backing from the United States and several other Western countries, as well as Zionist-lobbies having a disproportionately large amount of influence over the aforementioned states, makes me fear that Israel will be given more or less free hands to do as they wish in the Middle East.
It is difficult for me as well as many others to feel any type of sympathy for the Iranian regime. Iran has therefore become an easy target for both Israel and the United States. Just like the case of Venezuela, I would therefore not feel too much anger, or any anger at all, if the government of Iran was toppled.
Even though it is impossible to tell whether Israel and the US were somehow playing a part in the recent uprising in Iran, it definitely came very suitable for the two countries. Once again though, just like with the case of Venezuela, I am not going to shed any tears if the Persians manage to get rid of their repressive regime once and for all. For me personally, the problem is that Iran might very likely be just one of many countries in the region which Israel could be targeting.
If another major war was about to break out in the Middle East, it would most likely not involve any of the oil-rich US allies such as Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates. Their regimes are busy worshiping their true God whose name is “Money”.
My guess is that Israel would only target the countries that they deem as threats to their existence, and who they haven’t been able to somehow pay off. The sad truth is the same as it has been for hundreds of years. I am referring to the fact that money talks, especially in the Middle East, but also in more or less every other part of the world.
Just like all my other posts, these are just my personal theories about what might happen in the near future as a result of the current state of global affairs. I would definitely be very happy if it turns out that I am wrong and things plays out differently.
Sadly enough, I also think that many of us agree that my theories seems to be far from unlikely. This might sound overly dramatic, but the coming years will most likely be decisive for the future of humanity and the whole planet. Therefore, please stay safe everyone, and take care of each other. Love and kindness could be one way of battling the sick and outright disgusting state of current global affairs.